USC Dornsife/L.A. Times poll: Democrats believe a white male is most likely to beat Trump

When asked which specific candidate could defeat President Donald Trump, 86% of Democrats said Joe Biden could “probably” or “definitely” win.

June 19, 2019 Jenesse Miller

The latest USC Dornsife/LA Times poll shows Democrats believe Joe Biden is the likely candidate to beat President Donald Trump among Democratic voters.

Graphic: Democrats think Biden most likely to beat Trump

Generic winning candidate profile

More than half of Democratic voters overall believe a white male candidate is the most likely to beat President Donald Trump. Voters chose a white male more often than other generic categories regardless of whom they support—and in most cases regardless of their own ethnicity and gender—USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times national tracking poll shows.

Graphic: Democrats say white male most likely to beat Trump

Candidate most likely to beat Trump

When asked about specific candidates, Democrats rated Vice President Joe Biden as the most likely among top-ranked presidential candidates to beat President Trump, with 86% saying Biden could “probably” or “definitely” beat Trump.

Graphic: Which "wing" of the Democratic party do you identify with?

How Democrats identify themselves

The survey results also revealed that more than two-thirds of Democrats identify themselves as liberal/progressive or moderate/conservative. Forty percent described themselves as liberal/progressive and 27% identified as moderate/conservative. Only 1 in 10 Democrats identified as Democratic Socialists; of these Democrats, one-third are African American, more than half are younger voters and two-thirds are women.

Poll methodology: The sample of 5,108 eligible U.S. voters participated from May 15 to June 15, 2019. They are members of USC Dornsife’s Center for Economic and Social Research’s Understanding America Study (UAS) probability-based internet panel. The poll was conducted online in respondents’ choice of English or Spanish. The overall margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points for all U.S. eligible voters and +/- 3 for 2020 Democratic primary voters.

Information about the poll including methodology, question wording and results, as well as the archive of results of prior USC Dornsife/LA Times polls, are available online.

About the poll: The USC Dornsife/L.A. Times poll is a partnership of the Los Angeles Times and two institutions of the USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences: the Center for the Political Future and the Center for Economic and Social Research. For more information about the Center for Economic and Social Research Understanding America Study internet panel, visit the study’s website.